Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 65.2 percentage points to 86.4% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9.
Jul 13
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
YES price surges 47pp to 84.5% on $30M Credible sale market with whale flows confirming
Whales contributed $13K net buying as Polymarket’s market sharply repriced the likelihood of the Credible public sale surpassing $30M.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 70.6 pp to 91.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price gains aligned as odds for Iran's Gulf strike jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 45.9 pp to 94.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 64.5 pp to 90.8% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price moves aligned as traders sharply increased odds of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 35pp to 59% on whale-backed surge
Whales contributed $14K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 55.5pp to 93.0% in 24h on Polymarket
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp rise in market odds ahead of July 14, 2026 deadline.
Jul 13
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate Odds Plunge 45.1 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Graham dropped sharply despite neutral whale activity, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack market surges 48pp to 71.2% as whales back YES
Whales and retail traders moved in tandem, pushing the probability sharply higher on July 13 Iran shipping attack scenario.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 50pp to 87.5% on whale support
Whales contributed $13K net buying as the market’s YES price doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 13