The Polymarket YES price for “Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?” collapsed by 45.1 percentage points over the past 24 hours, falling from 45.6% to 0.50% as of July 13, 2026. This dramatic repricing reflects a swift shift in market sentiment against Evette’s chances.
Notably, the sizable price drop occurred amid whale activity that diverged from the price movement: large traders did not increase their net exposure to the YES side during this period.
This divergence between price and whale flow points to a market recalibration where the tape reflects a sharp decline in confidence, but whales have yet to commit to this new consensus.
Overall, the combination of a steep YES price drop and neutral whale engagement signals a market in flux. The sharp decline in implied probability highlights increased skepticism about Pamela Evette’s chances, while the lack of whale reinforcement suggests the market is still digesting new information or awaiting clearer signals.
| Market | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2896160 |
| 24h price change | +45.1 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 0.50% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 45.6% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $22K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-13. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.