Breaking
US blockade on Iran market YES price jumps 21.0 pp to 42.5% with whale buying support
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.0 percentage point rise in the Polymarket market's YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 12
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
US x Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 22.5 points despite $41K whale buy
Whale flow diverged from sharp 24-hour price decline in Polymarket’s US-Iran diplomatic meeting market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 jump 23 pp to 45.5% on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $144K net buys, aligning with the sharp price rise in the past 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Warships Through Strait of Hormuz Odds Jump 18 Points to 46.5%
Whale trading activity aligned with a sharp 18.0 percentage point rise in the YES price over 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket Yes Odds on US Warships Through Strait of Hormuz Jump 22pp to 50.5%
Whale activity tracked with price surge as market shifts sharply on US naval movements by July 2026.
Jul 12
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“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?” YES jumps 22 pp to 64% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, signaling renewed confidence in a US blockade announcement by year-end.
Jul 12
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US warship transit through Strait of Hormuz odds jump 25 pp to 54.5%
Polymarket whales increased exposure alongside a sharp price rally in the US naval deployment market.
Jul 12
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Odds for US warships through Strait of Hormuz rose 30pp to 59.5% in 24h
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp price jump on Polymarket’s $6K-volume market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on US Iran blockade jumps 31pp with whale buying support
The market’s rapid 31.0 percentage point rise to 63.0% was matched by $20K net whale inflows, signaling strong conviction in the move.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action on July 12? YES price jumps 51pp to 65.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rising odds as the market priced in a significant increase in the likelihood of military action.
Jul 12