Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60.5pp to 70% on July 12 on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with sharp repricing as market shifts from 9.5% to 70% probability in 24 hours
Jul 12
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 70.5 points to 80% as whales back surge
Whale activity matched a sharp repricing in the Polymarket market on Iran's potential Gulf military action July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? YES price jumps 19.5 pp
Whale activity supported a sharp 24-hour rise in the market's probability to 66.0%.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 60pp to 68.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with sharp 24-hour jump in probability for Gulf State conflict
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade market YES price jumps 23.5pp to 45% with $160K whale inflow
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rally in the probability of a US blockade on Iran by July 31, doubling the market’s odds in 24 hours.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 28 pp to 49.5% as whales back YES with $158K flow
Whale buying and price moves aligned sharply in the last 24 hours on Polymarket's Iran blockade market.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Jumps 65 Percentage Points to 73.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 65pp rise in odds for Iran launching military action against a Gulf state on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
US Iran blockade odds jump 24.5pp as whales push $156K into YES
Polymarket’s latest data shows a sharp rise in the probability of a US blockade on Iran by July 31, backed by aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES price surges 68pp to 76.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing, pushing the probability from 8.5% to 76.5% on Polymarket.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market jumps 19pp as whales push YES to 40.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 19.0 percentage point rise in YES price on Polymarket, signaling increased conviction in a blockade announcement by July 31.
Jul 12