Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in the probability that Kash Patel will be out by year-end, adding $5K net to YES contracts amid $9K total volume.
Whale activity of $6K net inflow into YES contracts supported a sharp repricing from 12.0% to 53.5% in 24 hours.
Singapore’s forecast spread outpaces Hong Kong and Shanghai despite lower volume, signaling heightened uncertainty in the city’s temperature outlook.
A single $296K purchase by @Ferwhere challenges the market’s 2.1% probability for Ron DeSantis winning the 2028 Republican nomination.
The market's YES probability plunged from 41.5% to 23.5% despite whale flow moving against the price shift.
Whale buying of $6K confirms sharp 24-hour rise in Polymarket odds for Google’s lead in Math AI by July 2026.
Whales have bought $4.37M into Spain’s World Cup win market in the last 24 hours, diverging sharply from the 21.6% market-implied probability.
YES contract for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026 fell from 44.0% to 23.0% while whale flow diverged, signaling mixed market signals.
Whale activity diverged from the steep drop in YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Polymarket’s contract on Kash Patel’s departure sees a sharp repricing from 40.0% to 57.0%, supported by $8K whale net inflows.
