Whales
Whales Pour $683K Into Switzerland World Cup Win at 1.7% Market Price
Despite the market pricing Switzerland’s 2026 World Cup win at 1.7%, whales have net bought $683K on the underdog side in the last 24 hours.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES price jumps 20pp to 60.5% with $8K whale buys
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing odds from 40.5% to 60.5% on Polymarket Breaking data.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill market YES price plunges 31.8 pp despite $9K whale buying
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged sharply from a steep 31.8 percentage point drop in the YES contract price.
Jul 11
Breaking
YES price on xAI Grok model debut plunges 74pp to 3.1% as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s odds for Grok’s next model hitting 1460 score by end-2026 collapsed sharply while whale bets did not follow the sell-off.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?” YES price falls 17.5 pp despite whale selling
Polymarket’s odds for Moscow air traffic suspension dropped from 92.0% to 74.5% as whale activity diverged from price moves, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 11
Breaking
Odds for OpenAI model debut at 1470 score plunge 81.8 pp on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from the price drop, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
BBL Esports YES Price Jumps 51.3pp to 100% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic repricing as BBL Esports’ chances soared from 48.7% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Whales
$1.36M Net Whale Flow Bets on Belgium to Win 2026 World Cup Despite 0.05% Market Price
Whales are buying aggressively into Belgium’s 2026 World Cup win at odds the market currently prices near zero, highlighting a stark divergence in sentiment.
Jul 11
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Contract Jumps 15pp to 87.5% on Aligned Whale Bets
Polymarket’s Bitcoin price target market surged as whale activity confirmed the sharp rise in odds.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI Market Jumps 42pp to 54% on Whale Buying
Whales contributed $6K net inflow as Polymarket odds for Google leading Math AI by July 2026 more than quadrupled in 24 hours.
Jul 11