Whales
Whale buys $267K on Spain to win July 2026 World Cup match
A wallet with 68% accuracy places a $267K bet backing Spain against Belgium, joining $12.78M whale buying in the market.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Trump housing bill market tumbles 44pp despite $9K whale buy-in
Whale trades diverged from sharp price drop in Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 11
Breaking
Will BBL Esports Be Last VCT EMEA Team Standing? YES Jumps 54.1 Points to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic market surge, pushing the YES price from 45.9% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Will BBL Esports Be Last VCT EMEA Team Standing Jumps 66 Points to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price surge, pushing the YES contract from 34.0% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds plunge 20pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged sharply from a 20.0 percentage point drop in YES price on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
YES price plummets 84.9 pp on OpenAI GPT model score market as whale flow diverges
Despite a sharp 84.9 percentage point drop in YES price, whale buying surged $13K into the contract, marking a rare divergence between price and large trader activity.
Jul 11
Whales
$342K Bet Against Consensus on Norway Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup
A single wallet placed $427K on Norway’s 2026 World Cup win, defying the market’s 5.9% implied probability and joining whale buying trends.
Jul 11
Breaking
Strait of Hormuz traffic normalcy odds drop 15pp to 34.5% despite whale selling
Polymarket’s ‘Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?’ market saw a sharp 15.0pp decline in YES price while whale flow diverged by selling into the dip.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI odds jump 36 points to 51% as whales back YES
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 36.0 pp rise in the probability Google leads in Math AI by July 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI model odds jump 32 points to 47% as whale buying lifts price
Whales added $6K net into YES as Polymarket odds for Google leading in Math AI at July 2026 surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11