Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action contract jumps 60.2 pp to 81.3% on Polymarket
Whale bets aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, pushing odds for Iranian military action significantly higher.
Jul 13
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Contract YES Price Drops 30pp Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Whales poured $59K into YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price fell sharply from 87.5% to 57.5%, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 65.2 percentage points to 86.4% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price surges 47pp to 84.5% on $30M Credible sale market with whale flows confirming
Whales contributed $13K net buying as Polymarket’s market sharply repriced the likelihood of the Credible public sale surpassing $30M.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 70.6 pp to 91.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price gains aligned as odds for Iran's Gulf strike jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 45.9 pp to 94.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds, pushing the market near certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 64.5 pp to 90.8% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price moves aligned as traders sharply increased odds of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 35pp to 59% on whale-backed surge
Whales contributed $14K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran targeting shipping on July 13 rose sharply.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 55.5pp to 93.0% in 24h on Polymarket
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp rise in market odds ahead of July 14, 2026 deadline.
Jul 13
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate Odds Plunge 45.1 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Graham dropped sharply despite neutral whale activity, signaling market skepticism.
Jul 13