Breaking
Houthis targeting shipping odds surge 25pp to 47% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in the probability that Houthis will successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026.
Jul 13
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
YES price on Credible public sale commitment jumps 39.9 pp to 93.8%
Whale activity and market prices rose together sharply, signaling increased confidence in $25M+ funding milestone.
Jul 13
Breaking
Alexandru Nazare PM Odds Drop 17.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
While the YES price for Nazare’s premiership fell sharply, whales increased their net buys by $4K, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 57pp to 84% on Polymarket in 24 hours
Whale trading aligned with rapid price jump, pushing odds from 27% to 84% on July 9 Gulf State conflict market
Jul 13
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES Price Jumps 20pp to 64.5%
Whales backed the surge with $6K net inflow, aligning with a sharp 24-hour repricing higher on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate odds plunge 32.3pp as whale flow diverges from price
Odds for Pamela Evette replacing Graham as South Carolina Senator dropped sharply despite no whale buying support, signaling a disconnect in market sentiment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Attack Odds Surge 28pp to 50% on Polymarket
Whale bets moved in sync with a sharp jump in the market’s probability for successful Houthi strikes by August 31, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran Military Action Odds Surge 66.7 Points to 87.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market pricing both drove a sharp revaluation on the likelihood of Iran taking military action on July 9.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Pour $412K Into France Win at 39.0% Market Price
Significant whale buying in France’s 2026 World Cup win market contrasts with a sub-40% implied probability, highlighting a split between big-money flow and crowd pricing.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for Pamela Evette as South Carolina GOP Senate Nominee Drop 22pp in 24h
Pamela Evette's chance to secure the Republican Senate nomination fell sharply despite whale buying diverging from price action.
Jul 13