Breaking
Iran shipping attack market surges 48pp to 71.2% as whales back YES
Whales and retail traders moved in tandem, pushing the probability sharply higher on July 13 Iran shipping attack scenario.
Jul 13
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 50pp to 87.5% on whale support
Whales contributed $13K net buying as the market’s YES price doubled in 24 hours, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES jumps 53.5pp to 77.1%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour price surge, pushing odds above three-quarters on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market Sees 31.5pp Drop in YES Price Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's YES price for Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July fell from 87.0% to 55.5%, while whale activity pushed $57K into YES, signaling conflicting signals between price and large traders.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 44.5 points to 68.2% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of Iran acting militarily on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES jumps 44.5 pp to 83.0% in 24h
Whale activity aligned with the sharp rally, pushing the market from 38.5% to 83.0% YES probability.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 69.5 pp to 95% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026, pushing YES price from 25.5% to 95%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action on July 9? YES price jumps 54.2 pp to 75.8%
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds, signaling increased market conviction on military action in the Gulf.
Jul 13
Breaking
Pamela Evette Senate Replacement Odds Plunge 64.5 Points Amid Divergent Whale Activity
YES contract on Pamela Evette replacing Senator Graham dropped from 65.6% to 1.1% despite whale flow opposing the move.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Odds Drop 32pp Despite $46K Whale Buy Flow
Whale activity on Polymarket diverged from a sharp 32pp price decline, signaling conflicting sentiment.
Jul 13