Breaking
‘Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?’ YES price jumps 38.8 points on $869K whale inflow
Whales drove a sharp rise in confidence on Polymarket as YES price surged from 60.5% to 99.3% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 54pp to 32.5% on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 54-point drop in the YES price, whale trades diverged by reducing YES exposure, signaling skepticism amid $12K volume.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds collapse 33pp to 0.05% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from price action as market odds plunged from 33.0% to near zero within 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump’s Presence in WC Champions Photo Nears Certainty with 37.5pp Jump
Whales contributed $852K net buying as the market price surged from 61.5% to 99.1% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 64.5 Points in 24 Hours
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as market odds fell from 86.5% to 22.0%.
Jul 20
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral odds plunge 37.5 points despite $7K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off as YES price dropped from 51.5% to 14.0% in 24 hours
Jul 20
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 FIFA World Cup Win Contract Surges 41.4 Points to 100%
Whales supported the sharp price rise, pushing net flow of $74K into YES on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
UBJP’s odds to win 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections jump 21pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as confidence surged sharply in UBJP’s lead within 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo Odds Surge 38.6pp to 99.1% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $825K net buying as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Trump appearing in the photo.
Jul 20
Whales
$2.40M Buy on Spain Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup Joins Whale Flow
A single wallet placed $5.77M across nine trades backing Spain in the 2026 World Cup market, aligning with broader whale buying.
Jul 20