Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo YES jumps 38.9pp to 99.4% on whale buying
Whales poured nearly $1M into YES as the market surged from 60.5% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 24.5 Points as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket sees a sharp 24.5 pp decline in YES price despite whale activity moving against the trend.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump’s Presence in WC Champions Photo Nears Certainty with 40pp Jump to 99.5%
Whale buying of $964K pushed the Polymarket ‘Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?’ contract sharply higher over 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Claude Opus model release odds drop 28.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market cut the chance of a July 22, 2026 release to 22%.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump’s WC Champions Photo Market Jumps 40pp to 99.5% on $950K Whale Buying
Whales and overall traders pushed the 'YES' price from 59.5% to near certainty in 24 hours, reflecting a rapid shift in market consensus.
Jul 20
Breaking
Israel-Iran ceasefire odds jump 29pp to 61.5% on Polymarket amid aligned whale bets
Polymarket’s “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” market surged as whale activity reinforced a sharp rise in YES contract price.
Jul 20
Breaking
Odds for Trump in WC Champions Photo Surge 40pp to 99.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $909K pushed the YES price from 59.5% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds tumble 33pp to 53.5% on Polymarket
Polymarket’s SpaceX launch market saw a sharp 33pp drop in YES price despite whale activity diverging from the move.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump WC Champions Photo YES contract jumps 40pp to 99.5% with $905K whale inflow
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise in the Trump WC Champions Photo market, driving YES price from 59.5% to near certainty.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds drop 50pp to 36.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged sharply from the 50pp price decline as market confidence in the July 23 launch waned.
Jul 20