Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 52.5 points in 24 hours on Polymarket
Contrary to the sharp drop in market odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in YES contracts.
Jul 20
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball YES contract surges 91.3pp to 100% despite $10K whale NO bets
Polymarket’s market on Messi winning the 2026 Silver Ball jumps to certainty while whale flow moves counter to the price shift.
Jul 20
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 25pp Despite Whale Buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market's YES probability fell sharply to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 36.5 pp to 99.0% amid $815K whale inflow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, pushing odds to near certainty.
Jul 20
Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball chances soar 94.6 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the surge, with $227K net inflow fueling a complete market repricing.
Jul 20
Breaking
Netherlands Fair Play Award YES price jumps 99.6pp to 100% with whale support
Whales contributed $12K net buying as the market for Netherlands winning the 2026 Fair Play Award surged from 0.40% to certainty.
Jul 20
Daily
Polymarket hits $69.76M volume with 2M trades in busiest day this week
Trading volume surged 39.0% above the prior 5-day average as 62,329 wallets engaged across 517,151 markets.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?” YES price jumps 23.4 points to 100%
The market’s certainty about Drake attending the final rose sharply alongside confirming whale bets in a $11K volume session.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 35.1 pp to 97.7% on whale buying
Whales bought $741K into YES contracts as the market price surged from 62.5% to 97.7%, aligning flow and price moves.
Jul 19
Breaking
England to Score Most Goals at 2026 World Cup Jumps 68.5 Points to 100%
Whales bought $48K into the YES side as the market price surged from 31.4% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19