Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?” YES price falls 18pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $26K in YES contracts while Polymarket’s price dropped from 58.0% to 40.0%, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 13
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 58pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price jump, signaling strong market conviction in a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July market YES price drops 15.5pp despite $15K whale inflow
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 15.5 percentage point price fall in the Bitcoin July $65K market, signaling mixed sentiment.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds drop 25pp to 37.5% despite $27K whale buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25 percentage point drop in market odds on Polymarket for Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31.
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July dip contract surges 15.5pp with $16K whale buying
Whales and price moved in sync as the market jumped from 76.0% to 91.5% YES probability in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for No UK Culture Secretary in 2026 Jump 16.5 Percentage Points on Polymarket
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing the YES contract from 11.5% to 28.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?” YES price jumps 49.3 pp to 59.7%
Whales backed the sharp rise with $6K net flow into YES as market odds swung dramatically in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 16.6 pp to 91.2%
Whales added $7K net to YES contracts as market odds surged from 74.6% to 91.2% in 24 hours
Jul 13
Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 15.5 Points Amid Whale Buying
Bitcoin dip market on Polymarket saw a sharp 15.5 pp rise in YES price, backed by $14K whale net inflow.
Jul 13
Breaking
US blockade on Iran market slips 17pp as whales buy against price trend
Polymarket's 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?' YES contract fell from 49.5% to 32.5%, while whale buying surged $113K.
Jul 13