Breaking
Bitcoin $62,500 July Dip Contract Jumps 20.2pp as Whales Add $17K
The market for Bitcoin dipping to $62,500 in July surged to 95.2% YES price as whale activity confirmed the move with $25K buys.
Jul 13
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Whales
$193K Net Whale Flow into YES on England to Win 2026 World Cup vs 21.6% Market Price
Whales have bought $945K against $500K sold, diverging from the market-implied probability of England winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Push $370K Into Spain Win at 20.8% Despite Market Pricing
Net whale flow into Spain's 2026 World Cup win bet diverges from prevailing market odds in a $107.17M volume market.
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 58pp to 77% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing odds for a diplomatic meeting up from 19% to 77% in 24 hours
Jul 13
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 59pp to 78% ahead of July 14 deadline
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as Polymarket reevaluated the likelihood of a meeting by mid-July 2026.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 drop 25.5pp despite $105K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25.5pp decline in YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
“Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?” YES price falls 17.5 pp amid whale buying divergence
Whale flow of $108K into YES contrasts with a sharp 17.5 percentage point drop in contract price to 30.5%, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for No Next UK Culture Secretary in 2026 Jump 38.5pp to 50% on Polymarket
Whales backed the sharp rally in the market, adding $4K net to YES as prices doubled in a day.
Jul 13
Breaking
Anthropic’s Best Math AI Model Odds Surge 31.5pp to 85.5% on Polymarket
Whales pushed $3K net into YES as market odds jumped sharply, aligning flow with price despite a wide on-chain price gap.
Jul 13
Breaking
US Iran blockade market drops 15pp despite $16K whale buying
Whale buying flows diverged from a sharp 15pp fall in the Polymarket contract’s YES price, signaling mixed signals on US action against Iran.
Jul 13