Breaking
YES price on Iran shipping attack plunges 46.8pp despite $4K whale buying
Whale buying diverged from a sharp market selloff, pushing the YES price from 56.8% down to 10.0% in 24 hours.
Jul 15
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Odds for Sabrina Carpenter at 2026 World Cup halftime drop 51.1pp as whales buy YES
Despite a sharp 51.1 percentage point fall in YES price, whales increased net purchases by $3K, diverging from market pricing.
Jul 15
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter halftime show odds plunge 49.9 pp as whales buy $3K in YES
Despite a nearly 50-point drop in YES price, whale activity increased buying, creating a rare price-flow divergence.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 48.5pp to 89.5% on Polymarket with whale support
Whales contributed $3K net into YES as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State on July 15.
Jul 15
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.5pp in 24h
Whale buying diverged sharply from the market's steep drop in odds, highlighting conflicting signals in the prediction market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed rate hike odds after July 2026 meeting drop 28.1 pp as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $859K of YES contracts even as Polymarket prices for a 25 bps hike plunged from 35.4% to 7.2%.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 42.8 pp despite $7K whale buying
Whale buying of $7K into YES contracts diverged sharply from a 42.8 percentage point drop in the market’s implied probability for Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action market YES price jumps 47 points to 90.5%
Whales supported the sharp 24-hour rise with $3K net flow into YES contracts amid a volume of $6K.
Jul 15
Breaking
“Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?” YES price jumps 29.6 pp to 76.6%
Whale activity supported a sharp rise in odds, lifting market confidence in dissolution by mid-July.
Jul 15
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market YES Price Drops 46pp Despite $25K Whale Buying
Whale buying of $25K into YES diverges sharply from a 46pp drop in probability to 22.5% on Polymarket breaking feed.
Jul 15