Breaking
Google Gemini Pro model release odds jump 60pp to 83.5% on Polymarket
Whales matched the surge with $6K net buys as the market sharply repriced the chance of no new model by July 31, 2026.
Jul 15
#%swhales
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 870 stories.
Breaking
Fed 25bps hike after July 2026 meeting YES price plunges 28.5pp as whales buy $863K
Whale buying flow diverged sharply from a steep drop in market odds, signaling complex positioning in the Fed rate hike market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 32.5pp to 85.5% as whales back YES on Polymarket
Whale net flow of $3K aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Gulf State military action market.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? YES Price Drops 29.0 pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES contract for a July 2026 Fed rate hike fell from 34.8% to 5.8%, while whales increased net bets by $85K, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 15
Breaking
Bitcoin $60K July Dip Contract Loses 36pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Despite a sharp 36 percentage point drop in YES price, whale activity moved against the sell-off in the Bitcoin dip market.
Jul 14
Breaking
53.0% YES price on UK Home Secretary market falls 38.5 pp despite $2K whale buy
Polymarket’s price on no next UK Home Secretary in 2026 slumps from 91.5% to 53.0%, with whale flow diverging from the sharp drop.
Jul 14
Breaking
Argentina World Cup goals market jumps 39pp as whales back YES
Polymarket's odds for Argentina scoring most goals at the 2026 World Cup surged to 78.8%, supported by $3K whale net buying over 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Google Gemini Pro no-release odds jump 64pp to 88% with $6K whale support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 64 percentage-point rise in the probability that no new Google Gemini Pro model will launch by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Unai Simón’s Golden Glove Odds Jump 50.5pp to 76.5% on Polymarket
Whale buying of $5K aligns with a sharp market repricing in the 24 hours to July 15.
Jul 14
Breaking
‘Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?’ YES price drops 55.2 pp amid whale flow divergence
YES contract price plunged from 92.9% to 37.6% in 24 hours while whales increased net buys by $36K, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket.
Jul 14