Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Large traders are heavily backing Morocco to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup even as the market assigns it a near-zero chance, highlighting a stark divergence between whale bets and crowd consensus.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw its YES price collapse from 95.5% to 4.2% despite whales not supporting the move.
Whales contributed $7K net buying as the market's odds shifted sharply higher, with on-chain price diverging from Polydata's overview.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract dropped from 73.5% to 7.0% in 24 hours while whale flow diverged by selling YES shares.
A sharp 45 percentage-point rise in the Trump UFO files market saw whale flows move in tandem with price, signaling strong conviction among large traders.
Whales added $4K to YES contracts even as Polymarket prices the GPT model debut significantly lower.
Whales bought $6K into YES even as Polymarket’s price fell from 21.3% to 2.0%, signaling conflicting signals on the event’s likelihood.
Whale buying diverged from sharp price decline, signaling mixed sentiment ahead of the July 17 release date.
Whale buying of $1K in YES contracts contrasts with a sharp 25.5 percentage point decline in market odds over 24 hours.
Polymarket’s market on Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision sees a sharp price repricing amid whale flow diverging from the price move.
