Breaking
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? YES price drops 41pp to 37.5%
Whales moved $133 net into NO as the market sharply repriced Mark Sutcliffe’s chances in the past 24 hours.
Jul 20
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? YES price drops 44pp to 34.5%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 44 percentage point drop in YES odds, signaling growing skepticism on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Odds for Claude Opus Model Release by July 24, 2026, Drop 21pp Amid Whale Buying
Despite a 21 percentage point drop in YES price, whale flow moved $5K net into YES contracts, signaling a divergence on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo contract surges 36pp to 99.6% with $1.14M whale inflow
Whales and price moves aligned as Polymarket’s “Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” contract jumped sharply in a single day.
Jul 20
Breaking
Lucy Powell’s Culture Secretary Odds Jump 35.1 Points as Whales Back the Move
The market for Lucy Powell becoming UK Culture Secretary in 2026 surged from 12.5% to 47.6% alongside $4K whale inflows in the past 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 26pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s YES contract for the Claude Opus release fell from 41.0% to 15.0% despite whale buying diverging from price action.
Jul 20
Breaking
Odds Surge 21pp to 87.5% on Oleksandr Syrskyi Exit by End-2026
Whale activity matched the sharp 21.0 percentage point rise in Syrskyi exit odds, as $16K traded in 24 hours on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
Lucy Powell’s odds to be UK Culture Secretary jump 43.1 points to 47.6% in 24h
Whale activity backed the sharp price rise as the market’s 24-hour volume reached $6K, signaling strong conviction.
Jul 20
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 46.6 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?” market saw a sharp drop in YES price despite $3K whale net buying, signaling conflicting signals between price and large traders.
Jul 20
Breaking
‘Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?’ YES jumps 37 points to 99.6% on $1.12M whale flow
Whales and price moved in sync as the market surged from 62.5% to near certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 20