Iran shipping attack odds plunge 26.1 points despite $3K whale buying
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Whale flow diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket's 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 9?' YES price.
Whale activity tracked the sharp surge in odds, pushing the market close to certainty within 24 hours.
Polymarket’s YES price on McConnell stepping down dropped from 68.5% to 48.0% while whales added $12K net to YES, diverging from the price move.
Polymarket’s Iran military action market dropped sharply from 84.0% to 9.2%, with whale flow moving against the price shift.
The probability that Trump will declassify new UFO files by July 15 jumped from 47.0% to 77.5%, supported by whale flow in the same direction.
Whale bets matched the sharp rise in the market’s YES price, pushing it from 43.5% to 80.5% amid $58K volume.
The probability that OpenAI’s next GPT hits a 1480 score by end-2026 climbed sharply with aligned whale buying and retail volume.
Polymarket’s contract on Goldman Sachs Q2 investment banking fees rallies sharply, with whale activity confirming the price move.
Whale trading and price action moved in sync as market sharply repriced odds for UFO file release.
Whale activity and price movement aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood to 87.5%.