Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
YES contract for Citigroup's credit loss provision falls from 92.5% to 67.5% despite $1K net whale buys, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket action.
Polymarket’s ‘Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?’ market saw YES contract slip from 21.9% to 3.9% despite $8K whale buying in 24 hours.
Whale flows diverged sharply from price moves as Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' contract plunged in odds.
Polymarket’s YES price for Citigroup’s Q2 credit loss provision above $2.5B fell from 92.5% to 52.0% while whales added $1K net into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Despite a sharp 38.1 percentage point decline in the YES price, whales added $8K net into the contract, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Polymarket’s 'Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?' market saw YES contracts drop from 40.8% to 2.4% despite $6K whale buying over 24 hours.
Whales pushed $4K into YES as Polymarket odds soared from 31.5% to near certainty within 24 hours.
A net $200K whale inflow contrasts with the market’s 31.9% implied probability for France’s 2026 World Cup win.
Whale buying diverges from current market odds, signaling a notable shift ahead of the market close in 13 days.
Large traders have doubled net buying interest in Egypt's World Cup win at odds far below market pricing, signaling a sharp divergence.
