Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES price jumps 15.5 pp to 60%
Whales supported the surge with $6K net buys, pushing the contract sharply higher despite lower on-chain pricing.
Jul 13
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 40 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz drops 15pp in 24h
Whale trading diverges sharply from price, signaling conflicting views on maritime traffic odds by July 2026
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? YES price jumps 54.5 pp to 90.0%
Polymarket sees a sharp rise in odds as whale bets align with the surge, pushing YES price from 35.4% to 90.0%.
Jul 13
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor primary odds drop 16.5 pp despite $13K whale buys
Whales bought $16K into YES contracts even as the market price fell from 35.0% to 18.5% over 24 hours, signaling a split between price action and whale flow.
Jul 13
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Market Jumps 20pp to 34.5% on Whale-Aligned Bets
Polymarket’s contract on Houthis targeting shipping by July 31, 2026, saw a sharp 20.0 pp rise in YES price with whale activity confirming the move.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price surges 40pp to 76.5% on $30M Credible public sale market with whale flow supporting move
Whales contributed a net $14K into YES as Polymarket’s price jumped from 36.5% to 76.5%, signaling strong conviction in the public sale outcome.
Jul 13
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? YES Price Jumps 20pp to 64.5%
Whales backed the surge with $6K net inflow, aligning with a sharp 24-hour repricing higher on Polymarket.
Jul 13
Whales
Whales Pour $412K Into France Win at 39.0% Market Price
Significant whale buying in France’s 2026 World Cup win market contrasts with a sub-40% implied probability, highlighting a split between big-money flow and crowd pricing.
Jul 13
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 65.2 percentage points to 86.4% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp rise in odds for Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 9.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price surges 47pp to 84.5% on $30M Credible sale market with whale flows confirming
Whales contributed $13K net buying as Polymarket’s market sharply repriced the likelihood of the Credible public sale surpassing $30M.
Jul 13