Breaking
“Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?” YES jumps 16.0 pp to 58.5% with $18K whale support
Whales increased exposure to YES as Polymarket odds surged from 42.5% to 58.5%, signaling strong conviction in the market move.
Jul 14
#%swhale flow
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Breaking
Iran Hormuz fees market jumps 15.5pp as whales push YES to 72%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Hormuz fees market, lifting odds to 72%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 40pp to 84.5% with whale buying support
Whales added $3K net to YES as Polymarket prices in a sharp jump on July 14 Gulf conflict risk.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 39 pp to 81.5% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price move, adding $3K net into YES as market volume hits $6K
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action odds surge 44.5 pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the sharp rise, adding $3K net into YES as price jumped from 38.0% to 82.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Whales
Whales net $475K into YES on France World Cup 2026 at 39.0% market price
Big wallets are buying YES on France despite the market pricing a 39.0% chance of victory, signaling a divergence between whale bets and overall market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 49pp to 81.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in the probability of a diplomatic meeting by mid-2026, signaling strong market conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,900 July Odds Drop 18 Points Amid Whale Buying Divergence
Ethereum reaching $1,900 in July fell from 68.5% to 50.5% despite $6K whale net inflow into YES contracts.
Jul 14
Breaking
Sara Rodriguez’s 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary odds drop 19.5 pp in 24h on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged from the sharp price decline, adding $13K net into YES despite a 19.5 pp fall in contract price.
Jul 14
Breaking
Yes price drops 15pp to 62.5% on Fed rate pause market as whale flow diverges
Whales bought $912K into Yes even as Polymarket’s price fell sharply, signaling conflicting signals on July 2026 Fed rate outlook.
Jul 13