Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 463 stories.
Polymarket’s “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?” market surged as whale activity reinforced a sharp rise in YES contract price.
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off as YES price dropped from 51.5% to 14.0% in 24 hours
Whales contributed $825K net buying as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Trump appearing in the photo.
Polymarket’s market on Messi winning the 2026 Silver Ball jumps to certainty while whale flow moves counter to the price shift.
Whale flow diverged from price as the market's YES probability fell sharply to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Lionel Messi’s chances of winning the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup jumped sharply on Polymarket, even as whales bet $10K against the outcome.
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 34.5 percentage-point drop in Allam’s Polymarket odds, revealing conflicting signals in the market.
Whales drove $677K net into YES as the market surged from 62.0% to near certainty in 24 hours
Whales added a net $8K on top of a near-total price shift, confirming a major repricing on Polymarket.
Whales backed Rodri with $162K net buys as the YES price soared from 5.2% to certainty in 24 hours.
