The market for “Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” surged dramatically, with the YES contract rising 99.2 percentage points in the last 24 hours, from 0.75% to 100.0%.
This near-complete repricing reflects a strong consensus shift among traders. Whale activity aligned closely with the price move, as 36 unique whales contributed a net $8K flow into YES positions. These whales bought $19K worth of YES contracts while selling $12K, indicating sustained interest rather than profit-taking.
Total volume on Polymarket for this market in the past 24 hours was $10K, with lifetime volume at $19K and 139 unique traders participating overall. The whale buy volume exceeding the 24-hour market volume suggests that large players heavily influenced the recent price action.
The combined price and whale flow data signal a decisive market conviction that the Netherlands will secure the Fair Play Award in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, leaving little room for reversal at this stage.
| Market | Will Netherlands win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2432107 |
| 24h price change | +99.2 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 100.0% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 0.75% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | 100.0% |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $8K |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | $19K / $12K |
| Unique whales (24h) | 36 |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $10K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | 139 |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-20. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.