Breaking
Erling Haaland 8+ Goals Market Collapses 58.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Polymarket’s price for Haaland scoring 8+ goals in the 2026 World Cup plunged from 58.5% to 0.05%, while whale activity failed to support the drop.
Jul 11
#%ssports
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 146 stories.
Breaking
Erling Haaland 8+ World Cup Goals Odds Collapse 52.5pp Amid Whale Selling
Haaland’s chance of scoring 8+ goals dropped from 58.0% to 5.5% in 24 hours, with whale flow diverging from price moves.
Jul 11
Whales
Whales Net $668K Into YES on Switzerland World Cup Win at 1.7% Market Price
332 whales bought $1.48M against $741K sold as total volume hits $124.78M with nine days to close.
Jul 11
Whales
Whale buys $267K on Spain to win July 2026 World Cup match
A wallet with 68% accuracy places a $267K bet backing Spain against Belgium, joining $12.78M whale buying in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Mbappé’s World Cup goal contributions market jumps 35.5pp to 74.5% on Polymarket
Whales backed the surge with $3K net buys into YES, pushing odds sharply higher in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mbappé World Cup goal contributions market surges 42pp to 75.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with a sharp 42 percentage point jump in odds, driving a $1K net buy into YES in the past 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Mbappé’s World Cup Goal Contributions Contract Jumps 46pp to 78.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and market prices aligned as confidence surged sharply in Mbappé leading in goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 10
Whales
Whales Pour $1.10M into Morocco 2026 World Cup Win Despite 0.05% Market Odds
A net $1.10M whale flow into Morocco’s win bet contrasts sharply with its 0.05% market price in a $152.25M volume market.
Jul 10
Whales
Whale Sells $7.58M on Ronaldo Not Crying, Against 67% Market Odds
A wallet with 70.5% accuracy bets $7.58M against Ronaldo crying at the World Cup, diverging from the broader whale flow.
Jul 8
Whales
Whales push $2.80M into YES on Switzerland World Cup win at 2.1% price
Significant whale buying diverges from the market-implied 2.1% chance for Switzerland to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Jul 8