Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 54pp to 32.5% on Polymarket
Despite a sharp 54-point drop in the YES price, whale trades diverged by reducing YES exposure, signaling skepticism amid $12K volume.
Jul 20
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 22 stories.
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 64.5 Points in 24 Hours
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as market odds fell from 86.5% to 22.0%.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 52.5 points in 24 hours on Polymarket
Contrary to the sharp drop in market odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in YES contracts.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 38 Points to 11.5% Despite Whale Selling
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?” contract fell sharply as whale activity diverged from the price move.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 35.5 Points to 14% on Polymarket
Whale activity diverged from price direction as the market sharply cut launch odds within 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 31.9pp despite $18K whale buy-in
Polymarket’s YES price for a July 17 launch collapsed from 32.0% to 0.05%, while whales added $18K net into the contract, diverging from price action.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds collapse 95.5pp as whale bets diverge
YES price on SpaceX launch contract plunges from 95.5% to 0.05% despite $21K whale net buying, signaling a sharp market reassessment.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Collapse 86.9pp Despite $28K Whale Bets
Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?” market plunged from 87.0% to 0.15% even as whales bought $28K in YES contracts, signaling a sharp divergence between price action and large investor flow.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 84.9pp to 0.15% on Polymarket
Whales bought $28K into YES while the market price collapsed from 85% to near zero, signaling sharp divergence between flow and price.
Jul 17
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Plunge 79.8 Points Despite $28K Whale Bets
Polymarket’s YES price for Starship Flight Test 13 drops from 80.5% to 0.75% while whales increase bets on launch by $28K, signaling a sharp market divergence.
Jul 17