Breaking
Claude Opus July 31, 2026 Release Market YES Price Drops 15pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES contract price for next Claude Opus model release fell from 86.5% to 71.5% despite whale activity moving against the price trend.
Jul 17
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance odds plunge 40.1 pp despite $11K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp halving in Yes price on Polymarket's Max Martin wedding market.
Jul 17
Breaking
Max Martin Wedding Attendance Odds Drop 34.2pp Despite $11K Whale Buys
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 34.2 percentage point decline in YES price on Max Martin attending Taylor Swift's wedding.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price plunges 31.3pp to 49.2% amid whale-buying divergence
Whales bought $10K into YES even as the market slashed Max Martin's attendance odds from 80.5% to 49.2% in 24 hours.
Jul 16
Breaking
Trump-Netanyahu July 2026 Meeting Odds Plunge 79.5 Points Amid Whale Divergence
Market price for Trump-Netanyahu meeting collapses from 87.5% to 8.0% while whale flow moves against the shift.
Jul 16
Breaking
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding? YES price drops 44.9 pp amid whale flow-price divergence
Odds for Max Martin attending Taylor Swift’s wedding plunged from 83.0% to 38.0% while whales increased YES bets by $8K against the price move.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” YES price drops 47.5pp despite $4K whale inflow
Whales increased their YES bets by $4K while the market price plunged from 82.9% to 35.4%, signaling a split between big-money flow and price direction.
Jul 16
Breaking
‘Will Trump meet Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?’ YES odds plunge 81 points to 5%
Whale activity diverged sharply from price, signaling conflicting views amid a $28K volume surge.
Jul 16
Breaking
Iran military action odds drop 44.5pp to 44.0% despite $12K whale buying
Whales bought $12K in YES contracts even as market odds for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15 dropped sharply from 88.5%.
Jul 16
Breaking
“Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?” YES price drops 26.0 pp as whale flow diverges
Despite a 26.0 percentage point fall in YES odds, whale buying flows increased by $6K, signaling conflicting signals in Polymarket trading.
Jul 16