Breaking
“Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?” YES price jumps 84.5 pp to 88.9% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with rapid surge in YES odds, signaling strong conviction behind the dramatic repricing.
Jul 12
#%sprice movement
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 133 stories.
Breaking
Iran Shipping Attack Odds Surge 89.9pp to 93.8% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with sharp price rise as market reprices likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Russia entry into Shevchenko market jumps 15.2 pp to 97.7% as whales add $21K
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise, pushing the market closer to certainty despite on-chain price discrepancy.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill contract drops 63.2 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market plunged from 65.0% to 1.8% despite $9K whale buying in the last 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price falls 17.5 pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s market on Credible public sale commitment saw YES odds drop from 38.0% to 20.5%, while whale flow moved against the price trend.
Jul 11
Breaking
Will BBL Esports Be Last VCT EMEA Team Standing Jumps 66 Points to 100%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp price surge, pushing the YES contract from 34.0% to full certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES price jumps 17.0 pp to 51.5% with whale support
Whales backed the sharp 24-hour rise in the probability that Kash Patel will be out by year-end, adding $5K net to YES contracts amid $9K total volume.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price drops 18pp amid whale divergence
The market's YES probability plunged from 41.5% to 23.5% despite whale flow moving against the price shift.
Jul 11
Breaking
Odds for OpenAI model debut at 1470 score plunge 81.8 pp on Polymarket
Whale trading diverged sharply from the price drop, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 11
Breaking
Bitcoin July $62,500 Dip Odds Drop 15.5 Points Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Bitcoin dip market YES price fell from 92.5% to 77.0% while whale bets diverged, signaling uncertainty.
Jul 10