Breaking
Trump housing bill market YES price plunges 53.1pp despite $9K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 53.1 percentage point drop in the probability of Trump signing the housing bill by end of July.
Jul 11
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
Trump housing bill market tumbles 44pp despite $9K whale buy-in
Whale trades diverged from sharp price drop in Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI model odds jump 32 points to 47% as whale buying lifts price
Whales added $6K net into YES as Polymarket odds for Google leading in Math AI at July 2026 surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES jumps 17.0 pp as whales back the move
Polymarket’s contract on Kash Patel’s departure sees a sharp repricing from 40.0% to 57.0%, supported by $8K whale net inflows.
Jul 11
Breaking
BBL Esports YES Price Jumps 51.3pp to 100% on Polymarket with Whale Support
Whale activity aligned with a dramatic repricing as BBL Esports’ chances soared from 48.7% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google Math AI Market Jumps 46pp as Whales Back the Rally
The contract on Google leading in Math AI by July 2026 surged to 58%, with whale flows reinforcing the sharp price rise.
Jul 11
Breaking
“Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 30.1 pp to 2.4% on Polymarket
Price and whale flow diverged sharply as odds collapsed despite on-chain data signaling higher probability.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?” YES price drops 15pp to 77.5% amid whale flow divergence
Polymarket’s contract on Moscow air traffic suspension saw a sharp 15pp decline in YES price despite opposing whale trading activity.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket YES Price for xAI Grok Model Debut Plunges 55.5pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
The market price for Grok scoring at least 1460 by end-2026 collapsed despite whale buying, signaling a sharp shift in retail sentiment.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds drop 18.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?” contract fell from 22.0% to 3.5% even as whales increased YES stakes, signaling a disconnect between price and large bets.
Jul 10