Breaking
Kash Patel out by December 31? YES price jumps 25pp with whale buying
Odds for Kash Patel exiting by year-end rose sharply to 61.5%, backed by $15K whale net inflows
Jul 11
#%sprice-move
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 533 stories.
Breaking
“Kash Patel out by December 31?” YES contract jumps 19.5 points to 56%
Whales bought $14K into the YES side, aligning with a sharp 24-hour price surge on Polymarket.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 22.1 Points to 32% on Polymarket
Whale bets and price moves aligned as the odds of Iranian military action against a Gulf State jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Google’s Math AI model odds jump 35.5 points to 48% amid whale buying
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in YES price on Polymarket’s Google Math AI market.
Jul 11
Breaking
“US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?” YES price dropped 15 pp despite $51K whale inflow
Whales bought $51K into YES contracts while the market price plunged from 60.5% to 45.5%, signaling a divergence between whale activity and price direction.
Jul 11
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 29.9 points to 43.3% as whales back the move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” contract saw coordinated price and whale flow gains, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 11
Breaking
BBL Esports YES contract jumps 60.2 pp to 100% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from a full market repricing on BBL Esports’ chances at EWC 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again? YES price drops 21.5 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverges from price move as Polymarket cuts extension odds sharply
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 54.7pp to 1.8% amid whale buy divergence
Whale buying of $9K into YES contrasts sharply with the 54.7 percentage point collapse in contract price, signaling conflicting signals on the market’s outlook.
Jul 11
Breaking
Russia Entry into Shevchenko Market Surges 20.6pp to 98.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity of $20K aligns with sharp price rise, signaling strong market conviction on the event.
Jul 11