Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.5pp in 24h
Whale buying diverged sharply from the market's steep drop in odds, highlighting conflicting signals in the prediction market.
Jul 15
#%sprice action
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 37 stories.
Breaking
Ed Miliband Chancellor Market Crashes 49.5pp as Whale Flow Diverges
Whales bought $25K of YES contracts even as Polymarket’s price plunged from 68.5% to 19.0% in 24 hours, signaling conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? YES odds plunge 76.4pp as whale flow diverges
YES contract price dropped from 83.0% to 6.6% while whales added $32K into YES, signaling a split between price action and whale behavior.
Jul 14
Breaking
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? YES price plunges 43.2 pp amid whale buying divergence
Whale activity diverged sharply from a 43.2 pp drop in YES price, highlighting conflicting signals in the Polymarket market.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 58.2 pp in 24 hours
Whale buying diverged sharply from price drop as YES shares fell from 95.4% to 37.2%, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds plunge 42.4 points despite $17K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 24-hour drop in Polymarket odds on Iran's July 13 shipping attack.
Jul 13
Breaking
Odds for US blockade on Iran by July 31 drop 25.5pp despite $105K whale bets
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25.5pp decline in YES price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 13
Breaking
Russia capturing Kostyantynivka odds drop 26.5 pp despite $21K whale bets
Sharp 24-hour decline in YES price diverges from whale buying activity on Polymarket’s Kostyantynivka market.
Jul 13
Breaking
YES price drops 18.9pp to 18.6% on Farage 70–80% vote share market amid whale divergence
Whales bought $3K into YES while Polymarket price fell sharply, signaling conflicting signals on Nigel Farage’s by-election performance.
Jul 13
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 19pp Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Ethereum's dip to $1,700 in July saw YES contracts fall from 66.0% to 47.0% while whale activity diverged, signaling mixed market sentiment.
Jul 13