“Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price falls 47.9 pp despite $9K whale inflow
Whales bought $10K of YES contracts even as the market price plunged from 50.0% to 2.1%, signaling a divergence between price and whale activity.
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 1,224 stories.
Whales bought $10K of YES contracts even as the market price plunged from 50.0% to 2.1%, signaling a divergence between price and whale activity.
Whale flow diverged from price as YES contracts fell from 34.0% to 15.5% on Polymarket in 24 hours.
Whale flow diverged from price movement as Polymarket lowered chances of Anthropic extending paid-plan access.
Whale activity aligns with sharp price rise in market on 2026 nominating election outcomes.
Whales contributed $3K net buying as the contract’s odds rose sharply, with on-chain and price moves aligned.
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market plunged from 65.0% to 1.8% despite $9K whale buying in the last 24 hours.
Whales supported the sharp rise in probability for exactly two incumbent losses in 2026 nominating elections.
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index signals a deeply risk-off market mood with volume at a 30-day low and uneven sub-index readings.
A single wallet placed $346K on Kim Kardashian winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, sharply diverging from the market's longshot pricing.
A single wallet’s $300K purchase joins broader whale buying despite the longshot status of Switzerland’s victory.