A $346K purchase on the Polymarket market “Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” sharply contrasts with the market-implied probability of just 0.65%, marking a significant bet against the consensus. This trade was executed by wallet @Desy-1725192185234, which also deployed $200K on Kim Kardashian winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination and $101K on Tim Walz winning the 2028 US Presidential Election. The wallet’s total volume across these three large trades today is $647K.
With a market total volume of $9.24M, this single wallet’s activity represents a substantial concentrated wager. The wallet has a strong track record, with 63.9% accuracy across 269 resolved positions and a Brier score of 0.2674, reflecting a history of above-average predictive skill. Its lifetime stats include $27.58M volume over 795,390 trades across 537 markets.
This $346K purchase also aligns with broader whale buying pressure on the same market, where 130 unique whales bought $364K compared to $7K sold in the past 24 hours. The trade stands out not just for its size but for its positioning on a low-probability, underdog outcome within the “Presidential Election Winner 2028” event.
The sizable wager by a wallet with a proven record, combined with the whale flow momentum, signals a notable divergence from market consensus on Kim Kardashian’s chances. This move highlights how individual whale trades can push against prevailing odds on Polymarket events, reshaping the narrative around unlikely election outcomes.
| Direction | BUY |
|---|---|
| Market | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
| Event | Presidential Election Winner 2028 |
| Wallet | @Desy-1725192185234 · 0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862 |
| Amount | $346K |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/moves · snapshot 2026-07-11T11:02:14Z. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.