Breaking
“Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?” YES jumps 16.0 pp to 58.5% with $18K whale support
Whales increased exposure to YES as Polymarket odds surged from 42.5% to 58.5%, signaling strong conviction in the market move.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
US Iran oil sanction relief odds plunge 39.5 pp despite whale buying
Polymarket’s “US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?” market sees a sharp price drop while whale flow bucks the trend.
Jul 14
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market Jumps 19pp to 63.5% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp 19.0 percentage-point rise in the ‘no next Foreign Secretary’ market, aligning with the tape amid a rare price divergence on-chain.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action market surges 54pp as whales back YES with $4K net flow
Polymarket’s contract on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14 saw a sharp price jump aligned with whale buying, signaling a rapid shift in market sentiment.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Hormuz fees market jumps 15.5pp as whales push YES to 72%
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour price rise in the Iran Hormuz fees market, lifting odds to 72%.
Jul 14
Breaking
Houthis Shipping Target Market Jumps 25.5 Points to 40.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp rise in odds for Houthis successfully targeting shipping by July 31, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action market YES price jumps 47pp to 91% with whale buying
Whales contributed $4K net buying as Polymarket odds for Iran military action surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 44.4 pp to 97.9%
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour jump in odds, pushing the market close to certainty.
Jul 14
Breaking
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31? YES price drops 30 pp despite whale bets
The market’s YES contract plunged from 37.5% to 7.5% in 24 hours while whale flow moved against the price trend.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Hormuz Fees Market Jumps 15.5pp to 23.5% as Whale Flow Supports Move
The market for Iran imposing Hormuz fees by July 31 saw a sharp rise in YES price, backed by aligned whale activity amid $25K volume.
Jul 14