Breaking
Pamela Evette’s Senate Nomination Odds Plunge 40pp to 5.5% Amid Divergent Whale Flow
Polymarket sees a sharp drop in YES price for Evette with whale trading contradicting the price move, signaling market uncertainty.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Sabrina Carpenter World Cup Halftime Show YES Price Jumps 26.8pp to 59.6% with Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 26.8 percentage point rise in odds for Sabrina Carpenter’s 2026 FIFA World Cup halftime show appearance.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 52.5 pp to 85% as whales back YES
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour surge in Polymarket’s Iran Gulf State conflict market.
Jul 14
Breaking
Fed rate pause odds drop 15pp to 61.5% despite $1.08M whale bets
Whale buying diverges from falling YES price in Fed rate pause market, signaling conflicting signals on Polymarket
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES price jumps 52.2 pp to 98.8%
Whale activity and market prices moved in tandem as confidence surged in the Credible public sale surpassing $25M.
Jul 14
Breaking
‘Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?’ YES price jumps 15.5 pp to 89.5%
Whales supported the rally with $10K net buying as 24-hour volume hit $21K on Polymarket.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Military Action Market Surges 53.5 Points as Whales Back YES
Polymarket's odds for military action on July 14 leapt from 36.0% to 89.5% with $4K whale net inflow confirming the sharp repricing.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 16.1 pp to 97.0% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price action aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026.
Jul 14
Breaking
US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds drop 17.5 pp despite $42K whale buy flow
Polymarket's YES price for a US-Iran meeting by July 31, 2026, fell sharply while whales increased their YES exposure, signaling a market split.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?” YES price drops 30pp despite whale buy-in
Polymarket’s contract on US sanction relief for Iran fell from 38.0% to 8.0% even as whales increased YES exposure, showing a divergence between price and whale flow.
Jul 14