Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 40pp to 84.5% with whale buying support
Whales added $3K net to YES as Polymarket prices in a sharp jump on July 14 Gulf conflict risk.
Jul 14
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 39.6 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale trading aligned with a sharp market revaluation, pushing the contract to full certainty within 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 39 pp to 81.5% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price move, adding $3K net into YES as market volume hits $6K
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 23pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 23-point jump in the YES price, signaling strong conviction in a diplomatic breakthrough.
Jul 14
Breaking
UK Foreign Secretary Market Jumps 16pp to 60.5% on Whale Support
Whale buying aligned with a 16.0 pp rise in the probability that there will be no next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026, signaling growing conviction.
Jul 14
Breaking
Max Martin wedding attendance contract jumps 19.5 points as whales add $2K to YES
Polymarket’s “Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift’s wedding?” market rises from 68.5% to 88.0% with whale buying confirming the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran military action odds surge 32.8pp to 100% on Polymarket in 24h
Whale bets aligned with price surge as market fully reprices Iran's Gulf conflict risk
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 39.5pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour price jump, pushing expectations for a meeting by July 14, 2026 higher.
Jul 14
Breaking
Iran Gulf State military action odds surge 44.5 pp to 82.5% on Polymarket
Whales aligned with the sharp rise, adding $3K net into YES as price jumped from 38.0% to 82.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds surge 45pp to 88.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price moves aligned in a sharp 24-hour revaluation of the Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? contract.
Jul 14