Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Launch Odds Drop 64.5 Points in 24 Hours
Whale trading diverged sharply from price action as market odds fell from 86.5% to 22.0%.
Jul 20
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral odds plunge 37.5 points despite $7K whale buying
Whale activity diverged from sharp market sell-off as YES price dropped from 51.5% to 14.0% in 24 hours
Jul 20
Breaking
Europe’s 2026 FIFA World Cup Win Contract Surges 41.4 Points to 100%
Whales supported the sharp price rise, pushing net flow of $74K into YES on Polymarket.
Jul 20
Breaking
UBJP’s odds to win 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections jump 21pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as confidence surged sharply in UBJP’s lead within 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
Trump in WC Champions Photo Odds Surge 38.6pp to 99.1% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $825K net buying as the market sharply repriced the likelihood of Trump appearing in the photo.
Jul 20
Whales
$2.40M Buy on Spain Winning 2026 FIFA World Cup Joins Whale Flow
A single wallet placed $5.77M across nine trades backing Spain in the 2026 World Cup market, aligning with broader whale buying.
Jul 20
Breaking
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch odds plunge 52.5 points in 24 hours on Polymarket
Contrary to the sharp drop in market odds, whale activity diverged by not supporting the sell-off in YES contracts.
Jul 20
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball YES contract surges 91.3pp to 100% despite $10K whale NO bets
Polymarket’s market on Messi winning the 2026 Silver Ball jumps to certainty while whale flow moves counter to the price shift.
Jul 20
Breaking
Claude Opus July 22, 2026 Release Odds Drop 25pp Despite Whale Buying
Whale flow diverged from price as the market's YES probability fell sharply to 25.5% in 24 hours.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 36.5 pp to 99.0% amid $815K whale inflow
Whale buying aligned with a sharp 24-hour repricing on Polymarket, pushing odds to near certainty.
Jul 20