Breaking
Rodri’s Golden Ball chances soar 94.6 points to 100% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched the surge, with $227K net inflow fueling a complete market repricing.
Jul 20
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Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,182 stories.
Breaking
Netherlands Fair Play Award YES price jumps 99.6pp to 100% with whale support
Whales contributed $12K net buying as the market for Netherlands winning the 2026 Fair Play Award surged from 0.40% to certainty.
Jul 20
Daily
Polymarket hits $69.76M volume with 2M trades in busiest day this week
Trading volume surged 39.0% above the prior 5-day average as 62,329 wallets engaged across 517,151 markets.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Drake attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?” YES price jumps 23.4 points to 100%
The market’s certainty about Drake attending the final rose sharply alongside confirming whale bets in a $11K volume session.
Jul 20
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 35.1 pp to 97.7% on whale buying
Whales bought $741K into YES contracts as the market price surged from 62.5% to 97.7%, aligning flow and price moves.
Jul 19
Breaking
England to Score Most Goals at 2026 World Cup Jumps 68.5 Points to 100%
Whales bought $48K into the YES side as the market price surged from 31.4% to certainty in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES contract jumps 36.1 pp to 98.2%
Whales drove a $719K net inflow into YES as Polymarket odds surged sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 19
Breaking
Messi Silver Ball odds surge 85.2pp to 100% despite $10K whale bets against
Lionel Messi’s chances of winning the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup jumped sharply on Polymarket, even as whales bet $10K against the outcome.
Jul 19
Breaking
Kareem Allam’s 2026 Vancouver mayoral odds plunge 34.5pp as whale flow bucks price move
Whale activity diverged from a sharp 34.5 percentage-point drop in Allam’s Polymarket odds, revealing conflicting signals in the market.
Jul 19
Breaking
“Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?” YES price jumps 36.2 pp to 98.2% on whale buying
Whales drove $677K net into YES as the market surged from 62.0% to near certainty in 24 hours
Jul 19