Weather
Tokyo forecast split widens to 3.4°C as Hong Kong leads at $48K
Tokyo’s 3.4°C forecast range highlights highest disagreement among 52 cities amid $161K daily volume across the weather vertical.
Jul 14
#%smarkets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 41 stories.
Breaking
Israel-Lebanon diplomatic meeting odds jump 67pp to 86% on Polymarket
Whale activity and price movement aligned as market sharply repriced likelihood of talks by July 14, 2026.
Jul 13
Weather
Weather trading hits $221K as Chengdu forecast gap reaches 3.3°C
Chengdu leads weather markets with largest forecast disagreement amid $221K total volume in 24 hours.
Jul 13
Weather
Singapore forecast split tops 1.4°C amid $223K daily weather market volume
Singapore’s forecast spread outpaces Hong Kong and Shanghai despite lower volume, signaling heightened uncertainty in the city’s temperature outlook.
Jul 11
Weather
Weather trading hits $220K as Taipei forecast gap reaches 2.2°C
Taipei’s forecast spread outpaces other cities amid $220K in daily weather market volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Russia-Ukraine diplomatic meeting odds jump 15pp to 52% on Polymarket
Whales and retail traders aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of talks by July 31, 2026.
Jul 9
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Seattle’s 69.9°F–79.5°F high
London leads with $62.13M traded, but Seattle’s 9.6°F forecast spread signals the most uncertainty among 39 city markets.
Jul 9
Daily
Polymarket Hits $103.04M Volume in 24 Hours, Top Markets Draw Over $140M Each
Volume surged 23.7% above the prior five-day average as active wallets topped 72,000, marking the week’s busiest day.
Jul 8
Weather
Weather trading hits $244.72M as Chicago’s forecast gap widens to 16.3°F
London leads with $62.13M in volume while Chicago’s wide forecast range signals unsettled market conditions.
Jul 8
Weather
Weather trading tops $244.72M today; the fight is over Dallas’s 93.2°F–102.3°F high
London leads with $62.13M in volume while Dallas shows the widest forecast spread, signaling unsettled conditions.
Jul 7