Markets
Two SpaceX Starships docking by 2027 priced near even on Polymarket
Starship docking plans unfold alongside Artemis lunar program delays and hardware updates.
Jul 20
#%smarkets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 41 stories.
Breaking
UBJP’s chances to win BARMM seats jump 32pp to 77.5% on Polymarket
Whale activity matched a sharp rise in odds for the United Bangsamoro Justice Party’s 2026 BARMM election prospects.
Jul 20
Weather
Seoul weather forecasts diverge by 2.4°C amid $212K in 24h trading
Seoul leads weather markets with the largest forecast spread and volume, highlighting model uncertainty in temperature predictions.
Jul 20
Weather
London weather forecasts diverge by 1.8°C with $25K traded, Buenos Aires leads volume at $36K
London's forecast spread is the widest across 52 active weather markets, highlighting uncertainty amid $164K total daily volume.
Jul 19
Daily
Polymarket handles $44.65M in 24 hours with 2.08M trades across 514K markets
Daily volume stayed just below recent averages as FIFA World Cup 2026 markets dominate open interest
Jul 19
Weather
New York City weather forecasts diverge by 7.5°F on $25K volume
Forecast disagreement drives $229K in 24-hour weather market volume across 52 cities, led by New York and Hong Kong.
Jul 17
Weather
Weather trading hits $295K as Paris forecast gap reaches 2.9°C
Paris leads weather markets with the widest forecast spread amid $295K total 24-hour volume across 52 cities.
Jul 16
Weather
Paris weather forecast shows widest 3°C spread with $34K traded in 24h
Wellington tops volume at $89K amid 52 active city markets as forecast disagreements highlight trading interest.
Jul 15
Breaking
China Q2 2026 GDP Growth Market Surges 59.3pp to 99.7% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $18K net buying as the YES price in the China GDP growth market jumped from 40.4% to near certainty.
Jul 15
Breaking
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? YES Price Drops 29.0 pp Amid Divergent Whale Flow
YES contract for a July 2026 Fed rate hike fell from 34.8% to 5.8%, while whales increased net bets by $85K, signaling conflicting signals.
Jul 15