Markets
Hamas pledges December 31 disarmament as traders price high odds
A tentative breakthrough in Middle East peace talks sees Hamas agreeing to disarm by the end of 2026.
Jul 31
#%smarkets
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 41 stories.
Markets
GRVT’s $350M FDV Mark Meets Skepticism One Day Post-Launch
Market participants weigh in on GRVT’s valuation potential shortly after its debut.
Jul 31
Markets
NYC Median Home Value Odds Moderate as September 30 Nears
Polymarket pricing reveals uncertainty on whether NYC's median home value will fall within a $636K–$663K range by September 30.
Jul 31
Markets
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December draws cautious odds at 59%
As geopolitical tensions intensify, markets price a meaningful chance of foreign intervention in Gaza by year-end.
Jul 31
Markets
Israel-Hamas Second Ceasefire by Year-End Priced at 64.5% on Polymarket
As ceasefire negotiations continue, market pricing signals tempered hopes for peace before 2027.
Jul 31
Markets
Apple Nears Second-Largest Company Spot by July 31 Amid Market Volatility
Recent tussles for top market cap between Apple and Nvidia spotlight shifting investor attitudes as July closes in.
Jul 21
Markets
Houthis’ Red Sea attacks priced at 58.5% as maritime blockade bites
Recent Houthi naval threats and attacks escalate Red Sea risks, with traders weighing chances of successful shipping disruptions by July’s end.
Jul 21
Markets
Solana price hovers in mid-$70s as July dip to $70 stalls at 32.5%
Despite recent dips, Solana spot price remains within a tight range, mirroring cautious market sentiment on July's $70 threshold.
Jul 20
Markets
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model at 20.5% Yes
After earlier shutdowns, the US government considers further restrictions on Anthropic, fueling market uncertainty.
Jul 20
Markets
OpenAI’s valuation hit $800B by July 31? Polymarket prices show cautious bets
Latest data from Polymarket reveals modest confidence on OpenAI surpassing an $800B valuation milestone this month.
Jul 20