Breaking
Iran military action odds double to 34.1% on Polymarket with whale support
The market for Iran's military action against a Gulf State on July 9? surged 16.7 percentage points as whale bets confirmed the price shift.
Jul 12
#%sgeopolitics
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 431 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action odds jump 32pp to 66.5% on Polymarket
Whale trading echoed the rapid rise in probability for Iran’s military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds surge 32.2 pp to 58.6% with whale buying support
Whales contributed $4K net into YES as Polymarket traders sharply repriced the likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds jump 38.3 pp to 56.8% with whale buying aligned
Whales contributed $4K net inflow into YES as market sharply repriced likelihood of Iran targeting shipping on July 13.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? YES price jumps 41pp to 67.5%
Whale trading aligned with sharp odds shift as market reassesses likelihood of conflict on July 12
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 46.5 points to 74% as whales back move
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?” market sees aligned whale flow and price jump, reflecting sharp repricing.
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran shipping attack odds fall 18.2 points despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as Polymarket’s “Iran successfully targets shipping on July 11?” contract dropped sharply
Jul 12
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds surge 68 points to 77.5% on Polymarket
Strong whale buying aligned with a sharp rise in probability for Iran's military action against a Gulf State on July 12.
Jul 12
Breaking
US blockade on Iran odds jump 17.5 points on Polymarket with $25K whale inflow
Polymarket's contract on a US blockade of Iran by year-end rises from 44.0% to 61.5% amid aligned whale buying.
Jul 12
Breaking
“Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?” YES price jumps 25.5 pp to 81.0%
Odds on Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by August 31 rose sharply alongside aligned whale activity, signaling increased market conviction.
Jul 12