Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” odds surged 37pp in 24h on Polymarket
Whale bets matched the sharp rise in the market’s YES price, pushing it from 43.5% to 80.5% amid $58K volume.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 40pp to 85% on aligned whale buying
Whale trading activity supported a sharp 24-hour surge in bullish bets on Trump releasing new UFO files by mid-July.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 76pp as whale flow diverges from price
YES contract on Iran military action drops from 85% to 9% despite whale bets moving oppositely.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s chances for second place in Clacton drop 26pp in 24 hours
The market’s YES price fell from 90.5% to 64.5%, diverging sharply from whale flow.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds collapse 79.6pp as whale flow diverges
Polymarket price for Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9 plummets from 84.7% to 5.1% despite whale activity moving opposite the sell-off.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T valuation odds drop 24pp to 52.5% despite $3K whale buy-in
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 24 percentage point decline in YES price on Polymarket, highlighting conflicting signals.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s chances for second place in Clacton by-election drop 29 pp in 24 hours
Despite a sharp 29 pp fall in YES price, whale trading diverged from the market move in the last day.
Jul 10
Breaking
Polymarket odds for Bitcoin dipping to $60K in July tumble 16pp despite whale selling
Bitcoin dip odds dropped from 62.5% to 46.5% in 24 hours on $41K volume, with whale flow diverging from price direction.
Jul 10
Breaking
“Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” YES price jumps 41 pp to 88%
Whale activity tracked the sharp market rise as odds for declassification soared in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
OpenAI $1.0T Valuation Market YES Price Drops 20.5pp Despite $3K Whale Net Buy
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 20.5 percentage point decline in the YES price on Polymarket's OpenAI valuation question.
Jul 10