Breaking
“Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” YES price plunges 72pp to 12.7%
The market sharply cut odds despite whale buying diverging from the price drop, signaling trader skepticism amid $22K volume.
Jul 10
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Trump UFO files market jumps 41pp to 88.5% as whale bets confirm rally
Polymarket's 'Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?' market surged on aligned whale and retail buying, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 10
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Bet Surges 19pp to 89.5% as Whale Flow Confirms Rally
Polymarket’s “Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?” contract gained sharply with whales backing the price move amid $81K in volume.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds tumble 74.8pp despite whale selling
Polymarket’s Iran military action market dropped sharply from 84.0% to 9.2%, with whale flow moving against the price shift.
Jul 10
Breaking
Citigroup Q2 credit loss provision odds jump 17.5 points to 86% with whale buying
Whales aligned with price action, adding $1K net to YES as market volume reached $6K in 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Anthropic $2.5T Valuation Market YES Price Jumps 15.0 pp to 30.5% on Whale Support
Whales increased their net $4K buy volume in step with a sharp 15.0 percentage point rise in YES price over 24 hours.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Surges 36.5pp to 83.5% on Whale-Aligned Buying
Polymarket’s “Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?” contract jumps sharply as whale activity backs rising odds.
Jul 10
Breaking
Trump UFO Files Market Surges 30.5pp as Whale Bets Align with Price Move
The probability that Trump will declassify new UFO files by July 15 jumped from 47.0% to 77.5%, supported by whale flow in the same direction.
Jul 10
Breaking
Count Binface’s second place odds drop 23pp to 67.5% amid whale selling
Despite a 23.0pp fall in the YES price, whale flow diverged by moving against the price shift in the Clacton by-election market.
Jul 10
Breaking
Iran Gulf military action odds plunge 72.3 pp as whale flow diverges
YES price for Iran military action on July 9 dropped from 84.5% to 12.2% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Jul 10