Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whale activity aligned with a sharp 21.5 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket for OpenAI’s GPT model scoring at least 1480 by end of 2026.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market saw an 83.3 percentage point drop in YES price while whale bets moved against the price trend.
The probability that OpenAI’s next GPT hits a 1480 score by end-2026 climbed sharply with aligned whale buying and retail volume.
Polymarket’s “Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?” market slashed YES price from 85.2% to 5.0% despite whale activity moving against the price shift.
Polymarket’s contract on Goldman Sachs Q2 investment banking fees rallies sharply, with whale activity confirming the price move.
Whale activity diverged as Bitcoin dip odds fell sharply from 70.0% to 45.5% in 24 hours on $33K volume.
Whale trading and price action moved in sync as market sharply repriced odds for UFO file release.
@Eztennis placed $2.93M in large trades today, including a $1.95M buy on Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants amid $4.95M total market volume.
Whales increased exposure by $3K as Polymarket YES price surged to 42.5%, diverging from on-chain mid-price.
Whale activity and price movement aligned as the market sharply repriced the likelihood to 87.5%.
