Breaking
Anthropic Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 18.5 pp despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price as YES contracts fell from 34.0% to 15.5% on Polymarket in 24 hours.
Jul 11
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
BBL Esports YES contract jumps 60.2 pp to 100% despite whale selling
Whale activity diverged sharply from a full market repricing on BBL Esports’ chances at EWC 2026.
Jul 11
Breaking
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again? YES price drops 21.5 pp in 24h
Whale activity diverges from price move as Polymarket cuts extension odds sharply
Jul 11
Breaking
Claude Fable 5 extension odds drop 15pp to 19% despite whale buying
Whale flow diverged from price movement as Polymarket lowered chances of Anthropic extending paid-plan access.
Jul 11
Breaking
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” YES price plunges 54.7pp to 1.8% amid whale buy divergence
Whale buying of $9K into YES contrasts sharply with the 54.7 percentage point collapse in contract price, signaling conflicting signals on the market’s outlook.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate incumbents’ defeat odds jump 17pp to 94.7% on Polymarket
Whale activity aligns with sharp price rise in market on 2026 nominating election outcomes.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate Incumbents Market Jumps 22.6 pp to 94.7% on Polymarket
Whales contributed $3K net buying as the contract’s odds rose sharply, with on-chain and price moves aligned.
Jul 11
Breaking
Trump housing bill contract drops 63.2 pp as whale flow diverges from price
Polymarket’s “Trump signs housing bill by end of July?” market plunged from 65.0% to 1.8% despite $9K whale buying in the last 24 hours.
Jul 11
Breaking
Republican Senate incumbents’ odds jump 29.2 pp to 94.7% on Polymarket
Whales supported the sharp rise in probability for exactly two incumbent losses in 2026 nominating elections.
Jul 11
PMX Index
Polydata PMX composite plunges to 26.9 as whale activity hits 39-day low
Polydata’s exclusive PMX index signals a deeply risk-off market mood with volume at a 30-day low and uneven sub-index readings.
Jul 11