Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Whale trading activity aligned with a sharp 24-hour rise in odds on Polymarket, reflecting increased market confidence in a diplomatic meeting.
Whale activity and price shifts aligned as the market sharply repriced the chance of US reissuing Iran oil sanctions by July 31.
Whale bets backed a sharp 18-point rise in the chance US will reissue Iran oil sanction relief by July 31, lifting YES price from 23% to 41%.
Whale bets and price moves aligned as the likelihood of Iran striking a Gulf State surged sharply in 24 hours.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 15.5 percentage point price fall in the Bitcoin July $65K market, signaling mixed sentiment.
Whale buying diverged from a sharp 25 percentage point drop in market odds on Polymarket for Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31.
Whales and price moved in sync as the market jumped from 76.0% to 91.5% YES probability in 24 hours.
Polymarket's contract on Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by July 31 saw YES price fall from 66.5% to 42.5%, with whale flow diverging from the price move.
Sharp 24-hour decline in YES price diverges from whale buying activity on Polymarket’s Kostyantynivka market.
Whale buying aligned with a sharp price rise, pushing the YES contract from 11.5% to 28.0%.
