Breaking
Polymarket YES price on 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz plunges 57.9 pp in 24h
Contrasting whale activity sees $34K net flow into YES as price drops from 95.1% to 37.2%
Jul 14
Archive
Daily digests, accuracy rankings and market reads on Polymarket data. 2,341 stories.
Breaking
Iran military action market jumps 36.5pp as whales push YES to 87%
Whale activity and price moved in tandem as the probability for military action surged sharply within 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Ethereum $1,700 July Dip Odds Drop 37.5 Points Amid Whale Flow Divergence
Polymarket's “Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?” contract fell from 72.0% to 34.5% despite whale activity diverging from the price move.
Jul 14
Breaking
“US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?” YES price plunges 45.1pp to 4.3% amid divergent whale flow
Polymarket’s contract on US imposing Hormuz fees saw its YES price collapse from 49.5% to 4.3% in 24 hours despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026, plunge 54.9 pp on Polymarket
Whale buying flow diverges sharply from a steep drop in YES contract price, signaling conflicting market signals.
Jul 14
Breaking
Israeli Parliament Dissolution Odds Surge 56 Points to 68%
Whale activity and price movement aligned as bets on July 16 dissolution jumped sharply in 24 hours.
Jul 14
Breaking
Odds for 30 ships transiting Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026 drop 60.8pp in 24h
Whale activity diverged sharply from price, with $32K net inflow into YES as market price plunged from 95.3% to 34.5%.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?” YES price drops 32.5 points as whale flow diverges
Polymarket’s YES contract for Houthi shipping attacks falls sharply despite whale activity opposing the move.
Jul 14
Breaking
“Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” YES odds surge 36pp to 98.6%
Whale activity matched the sharp 36 percentage point increase in YES price on Polymarket, signaling strong conviction in the outcome.
Jul 14
Breaking
Bitcoin $65K July Market Surges 34.7pp as Whales Back the Rally
Whale trading aligned with a sharp 24-hour YES price jump from 58.5% to 93.2%, signaling strong market conviction on Bitcoin hitting $65,000 in July.
Jul 14