The market “Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?” on Polymarket saw a dramatic rise in YES contract prices over the past 24 hours, climbing 36.0 percentage points from an estimated 62.5% to 98.6% as of July 14, 2026. This sharp repricing reflects a significant shift in market expectations about the public sale’s success.
Supporting this surge, whale activity aligned with the price movement, indicating that large traders reinforced the tape rather than opposing it. With $106K in total volume over the day, the flow confirms a consolidated market view rather than a contested one. This alignment suggests that major stakeholders have increased their confidence that the Credible public sale will indeed surpass the $25 million commitment threshold.
The combined price and flow data indicate a near-consensus on this outcome among Polymarket participants. The rapid climb to a 98.6% YES price, backed by whale buying, marks a notable consensus shift and reduces uncertainty around the public sale’s funding milestone. Such decisive market behavior often precedes the event’s resolution, embedding current sentiment into the contract’s valuation.
| Market | Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale? |
|---|---|
| Market ID | 2845811 |
| 24h price change | +36.0 pp |
| YES now (PM Breaking) | 98.6% |
| YES ~24h ago (est.) | 62.5% |
| YES (Polydata overview) | — |
| Whale net flow (24h) | $0 |
| Whale buy / sell (24h) | — / — |
| Unique whales (24h) | — |
| Volume 24h (PM) | $106K |
| Unique traders (Polydata) | — |
Source: Polydata API v3 · /whales/flow + Polymarket Breaking · snapshot 2026-07-14. Data: Polydata API v3. On-chain figures are public. Realized PnL is computed over resolved markets only and excludes open positions, so it is conservative versus the Polymarket UI. This is not investment advice.